Vulnerability and resilience in the suburbs of Arvento, Cajititlan, in the face of global climate change effects

In the Guadalajara Metropolitan Area (GMA), as in other parts of the world, the population lives in conditions of extreme poverty as a result of ineffective social and economic policies, which have led to a position of vulnerability to latent hazards: adverse weather events, natural or anthropogenic disasters, or a combination of these. On the other hand, resilience is relevant for local society, as it seeks to organize itself, provide services and response mechanisms in the territory in the face of hazards. The goal then, is to reduce the magnitude of the hydrographs by means of probabilistic and statistical models, which occur in the hydrographic basin. The results to be obtained were peak flow before and after urbanization, using the American Rational Formula. It is concluded that the construction of one or more hydraulic works will be necessary to solve the problem of possible floods.