DOI: 10.1177/20480040261505287 ISSN: 2048-0040

Trends and disparities in hypertension and chronic liver disease-associated mortality in the United States: A retrospective population-based joinpoint regression analysis, 1999–2024

Naveed Ahmad, Syed Tawassul Hassan, Aneeza Hameed, Furqan Ahmad Sethi, Fnu Urooba, Vishan Das, Muhammad Bilal Aamir, Rahul Falodia, Muhammad Hafi Abid, Imad Khan, Bilal Ur Rehman Khan, Muhammad Hassaan Javaid, Muhammad Ali Abid

Background

Chronic liver disease (CLD) and hypertension (HTN) are frequently co-occurring conditions with shared cardiometabolic risk factors. Our goal was to assess mortality trends associated with these co-occurring conditions on a national level.

Methods

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (1999–2024) database was used to assess deaths involving both HTN and CLD. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were computed per 100,000 population, and temporal mortality patterns were noted by calculating annual percentage changes (APCs) using the joinpoint regression program.

Results

Between 1999 and 2024, there were 198,234 deaths representing coexisting HTN and CLD. The overall AAMR increased from 1.0 to 6.2 per 100,000, surging between 2018 and 2021 (APC: 17.66, p  < 0.001) before stabilizing through 2024 (APC: 0.44, p  = 0.51). The AAMRs were higher for males than females (8.2 vs. 4.4 in 2024). The non-Hispanic American Indian population had the highest peak AAMR (20.8 in 2021). Mortality was rising faster in non-metropolitan than metropolitan areas. Subgroup analysis by age showed a dose–response relationship, with AAMRs being the highest among the 85+ (25.8) group. Notably, while mortality for ages 65–74 plateaued after 2021 (APC: 1.35, p  = 0.08), it continued to rise significantly for ages 75–84 (APC: 5.04, p  = 0.009) and 85+ (APC: 13.75, p  < 0.001).

Conclusions

The mortality associated with CLD and HTN increased significantly between 1999 and 2024 and is highly inequitable with respect to rural communities, specific ethnoracial groups, and adults over 75. Our findings highlight the need for integrated care pathways and interventions in cardiometabolic-hepatology for highly vulnerable populations.

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