The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose Technology on Economic Growth and Structural Transformation: An Innovation Ecosystem Perspective
Sultan Salur KucukThis article examines how artificial intelligence (AI), conceptualized as a general-purpose technology (GPT), shapes economic growth and structural transformation through a structured literature review covering the period from 2015 to 2025. The study adopts a structured, mechanism-oriented synthesis approach grounded in transparent search, screening, and thematic classification procedures rather than formal meta-analytic protocols. It develops an integrative innovation ecosystem framework that links three core transmission channels: (i) total factor productivity (TFP), (ii) task reallocation and labor-market restructuring, and (iii) innovation and knowledge-generation dynamics. The findings indicate that AI adoption does not generate uniform or automatic growth effects. Empirical evidence remains heterogeneous, and estimates of AI’s macroeconomic contribution vary across institutional and structural contexts. In most cases, outcomes depend less on the technology itself and more on complementary conditions—human capital formation, digital and data infrastructure, institutional coordination, and governance capacity—that enable effective diffusion. Interpreting task-based automation models alongside endogenous-growth and open-innovation frameworks clarifies why similar AI investments may lead to divergent structural outcomes. Rather than proposing a deterministic growth model, the study advances a conditional and ecosystem-centered interpretation of AI-led development. The study contributes by distinguishing foundational theoretical perspectives from the contemporary 2015–2025 evidence base, clarifying the relationship between task transformation and structural transformation, and emphasizing institutional complementarity as the key mechanism shaping AI-driven growth outcomes.