The Future of Humanitarian Logistics: How Donors and Volunteers Will Shape Supply Chain Cooperation in 2030

Background: This study examines how humanitarian supply chain cooperation in Morocco may evolve toward 2030, focusing on the roles of donors, volunteers, and digital technologies in strengthening coordination, operational performance, and resilience in crisis environments. Methods: A mixed-methods approach was adopted, combining qualitative data collected through interviews and focus groups with 57 humanitarian actors and quantitative data obtained from 1183 logistics professionals. Regression analysis, analysis of variance (ANOVA), and qualitative foresight techniques were employed to explore current cooperation patterns and future humanitarian supply chain dynamics. Results: The findings indicate that donors are increasingly expected to support digital coordination, predictive planning, and capacity-building initiatives rather than acting solely as financial contributors, while volunteers continue to play a critical role in adaptive and decentralized operations, particularly in rural areas. The results further suggest that digital technologies may enhance visibility, responsiveness, and collaboration when integrated into human-centered governance systems. Conclusions: The study proposes an integrated socio-technical framework for understanding humanitarian supply chain cooperation toward 2030 and provides practical insights for developing resilient, collaborative, and future-ready humanitarian logistics systems in emerging economies.