Spatial–Temporal Evolution of Global PM2.5 Concentrations and Exposure Risks Based on SDG Indicator 11.6.2
Qiyu Liang, Shuzhen Guo, Shurong Huang, Yebei Chen, Yang Jiang, Yue Zhao, Chao HeMitigating population exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a core prerequisite for advancing Sustainable Development Goal 11.6.2 and global urban sustainability. This study integrated 0.1° × 0.1° gridded PM2.5 reanalysis data, WorldPop high-resolution population datasets, and official SDG 11.6.2 scoring records spanning 2000–2019, and adopted multi-scale spatial statistics and population-weighted exposure models to systematically explore the spatiotemporal differentiation of global PM2.5 concentrations and associated population exposure risks, as well as their coupling relationship with SDG 11.6.2 implementation progress. This study employs ArcGIS 10.6 software to harmonize the spatial scales of multi-source heterogeneous data through spatial statistics and resampling methods, and applies the SDSN (Sustainable Development Solutions Network) standardized scoring framework to quantify long-term progress across regions in meeting urban air quality targets. The results reveal significant latitudinal spatial heterogeneity in global PM2.5 concentrations, with values ranging from 0.95 to 262.15 μg/m3; severe pollution hotspots exceeding 35 μg/m3 were agglomerated across Asia, Africa and South America, while Canada, Greenland, the Tibetan Plateau and eastern Russia maintained ultra-low PM2.5 levels below 5 μg/m3. Global SDG 11.6.2 standardized scores rose steadily from 71.05 in 2000 to 76.64 in 2019, with Asia and Africa achieving the most remarkable score growth despite low initial baselines. Regional gaps in target realization remained stark: North America, Oceania and Northern Europe basically met the PM2.5 sustainability standards, whereas densely populated regions of Asia and Africa faced critical governance challenges. Among nine typical countries, only China and India recorded population-weighted PM2.5 concentrations above 25 μg/m3 in 2019; China’s air pollution control policies delivered continuous emission reductions after 2013, while India sustained extremely high exposure risks. From 2010 to 2019, the global range of urban population-weighted PM2.5 concentrations narrowed, yet Afghanistan, Tajikistan and North Korea remained the most severely exposed nations. This study verifies the severe cross-regional inequity of PM2.5 exposure risks under the SDG framework, and provides multi-scale empirical evidence for differentiated air quality governance and international collaborative interventions to accelerate the delivery of the 2030 sustainable development agenda.