DOI: 10.3390/medsci14040455 ISSN: 2076-3271

Social and Functional Risk Patterns and All-Cause Mortality Among US Adults with Chronic Liver Disease

Chukwuemeka E. Ogbu, Ndukwe J. Kalu, Henry E. Orjiudeh, Nonso Desmond Okeke, Maureen Okafor, Lekhya Kollu, Chinazor Umerah, Philip N. Okafor

Importance: Chronic liver disease requires sustained engagement with the health system, which co-occurring social and functional risks may disrupt. Whether these risks form reproducible patterns with different mortality associations is uncertain. Objective: To identify social and functional risk patterns among US adults with chronic liver disease and evaluate their associations with all-cause mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: Nationally representative cohort study of National Health Interview Survey sample adults interviewed from 2011 through 2018 and linked to the National Death Index through 31 December 2019. Participants were aged 18 years or older, eligible for mortality linkage, reported a chronic liver condition, and had no baseline liver cancer. Exposures: Latent class membership derived from 7 binary indicators: poverty, food insecurity, uninsurance, cost-related delayed care, no usual place of care, single-adult household status, and activity limitation. A complete 0- to 7-item count was a secondary exposure. Main Outcomes and Measures: All-cause mortality. Survey-weighted Cox models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with sequential demographic, clinical, and liver-specific adjustment. Prespecified sensitivity analyses used 20 multiple imputed data sets, sampling-weighted pseudo-likelihood latent class models, complete-case re-estimation, a fixed 5-year horizon, and class-by-age interaction testing. Results: Among 3407 adults (weighted mean age, 54.0 years; 49.4% female), 529 deaths occurred over 17,297.6 person-years (median follow-up, 5.0 years [IQR, 3.0–7.0]). Four classes were retained: low social and access burden (weighted prevalence, 63.1%); functional limitation with financial strain (13.2%); poverty, single-adult household, and functional limitation (15.0%); and uninsurance with major access barriers (8.7%). Compared with the low-burden class, the functional-limitation/financial-strain class had higher adjusted mortality (HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.34–2.82; p < 0.001); the other 2 classes did not differ significantly. Sampling-weighted latent class analysis after multiple imputation reproduced 97.2% of modal assignments, and the association persisted with attenuation (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.08–2.22; p = 0.02). Each additional risk was associated with higher mortality (exact count: HR, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.13–1.36]; imputed count: HR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.10–1.29]). The class-by-age interaction was not significant (p = 0.41). Conclusions and Relevance: Among US adults with self-reported chronic liver disease, social and functional adversity was both cumulative and patterned. A profile combining functional limitation, food insecurity, and cost-related delayed care had the clearest independent mortality association despite largely retained insurance coverage. These profiles are not a validated clinical score, but the findings argue against reliance on any single indicator, particularly insurance status, as a marker of vulnerability.

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