Simulation and Performance Analysis of a PVT-Assisted Ground-Source Heat Pump System with Mine Pit Seasonal Thermal Storage for a Cherry Greenhouse: A Case Study

In response to the significant seasonal fluctuations in heating and cooling loads in greenhouses for high-value fruit trees in northern China, as well as issues such as heat accumulation on the ground-source side and high carbon emissions from coal-fired heating, this paper proposes a coupled energy supply system comprising a PVT system, a mine pit seasonal thermal storage unit, a ground-source heat pump and a cooling tower. Taking a 30,000 m2 cherry greenhouse and an existing 15,000 m3 mine pit thermal storage reservoir in Weifang, Shandong Province, as the research objects, annual design-stage simulations with a 0.125 h time step were conducted using SketchUp-TRNBuild and TRNSYS. Discrete sensitivity analyses and engineering constraints were used to determine the PVT area and cooling tower outlet temperature. Heating demand mainly occurred from November to February, whereas cooling demand was concentrated from June to September. The selected 2452 m2 PVT system supplied direct heating for 34 days, covered 23.05% of the seasonal heating demand, and achieved a storage efficiency of 69.17%. Without a cooling tower, the first-year soil temperature increased by 1.1 °C. With a 26 °C cooling tower outlet temperature, the soil thermal imbalance ratio decreased to 2.4%, and the 15-year soil temperature rise was limited to 0.28 °C. The recommended system required 1.3239 million kWh of net purchased electricity annually, reduced operating costs by approximately CNY 802,800 (USD 118,243) and operational emissions by 2027.8 tCO2-eq per year relative to the baseline, and had a static payback period of 6.4 years. The annual operational emission reduction was linearly extrapolated over a 20-year assessment period under fixed weather, load, equipment performance, and grid emission assumptions, resulting in a scenario-based carbon reduction threshold of 40,556 tCO2-eq. Net life cycle carbon savings would be possible if the additional emissions from construction, equipment replacement, and end-of-life treatment remained below this threshold.