Short-Term Stable Catchment-Level Metabolic Structure in Urban Wastewater Revealed by Untargeted Metabolomics
Dandan Li, Yin Wang, Yanfei Shi, Zhen Ma, Yuan Fang, Yan Ma, Bingling Wang, Haiping Duan, Kunzheng LvBackground: Urban wastewater integrates chemical signals from human activities and provides a composite biochemical representation of the communities it serves. However, whether wastewater metabolomes exhibit stable spatial organization at the catchment scale remains insufficiently characterized. Methods: Untargeted LC–HRMS was applied to 56 influent wastewater samples collected from seven urban catchments over eight consecutive days to evaluate spatial structuring of the community metabolome. Results: A total of 3248 reproducible molecular features were detected. Permutational multivariate analysis of variance indicated that catchment identity explained 62% of total metabolomic variation (R2 = 0.62, p < 0.001), while multivariate dispersion did not differ significantly among sites (p = 0.082). Within-catchment compositional distances were significantly lower than between-catchment distances (p < 0.001), and centroid separation exceeded internal dispersion (ratio = 2.55), indicating short-term stable, site-specific configurations in high-dimensional chemical space. Random Forest classification achieved 98% accuracy under strict spatial cross-validation and 98.2% under leave-one-day-out validation (p < 0.001). Classification performance remained high using annotated-only (98.2%), unannotated-only (98.2%), or pharmaceutical-excluded datasets (96.5%), demonstrating that spatial identity was encoded in a distributed manner across the metabolome rather than driven by a limited subset of compounds. Conclusions: These findings provide quantitative evidence that urban wastewater metabolomes exhibit short-term stable, reproducible catchment-level structure and establish a methodological foundation for system-level characterization of urban populations using untargeted metabolomics.