DOI: 10.1287/opre.2025.2166 ISSN: 0030-364X

Separation of Nonergodic Uniform Convergence Rates for Regularized Learning in Games

Yang Cai, Gabriele Farina, Julien Grand-Clément, Christian Kroer, Chung-Wei Lee, Haipeng Luo, Weiqiang Zheng

Convergence of Optimistic Learning in Games and the Role of Forgetfulness

Online learning algorithms solve games by repeatedly updating players’ strategies. A natural hope is that the latest strategy improves at a predictable rate. This paper shows that this intuition can fail for optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader methods, including the widely used optimistic multiplicative weights algorithm. In two-player zero-sum games, the authors separate three notions of nonergodic performance: last-iterate, random-iterate, and best-iterate convergence. They prove that no instance-independent last-iterate rate exists for the broad algorithmic family and establish strong lower bounds for random iterates. Yet, a useful positive result remains; in 2 × 2 games, optimistic multiplicative weights achieve a uniform best-iterate rate. The analysis traces the slowdown to a lack of “forgetfulness”; accumulated past losses can keep the dynamics moving away from equilibrium long after they reach its neighborhood. The results suggest that practitioners should distinguish carefully between the latest strategy, a randomly selected strategy, and the best observed strategy when evaluating learning dynamics.

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