DOI: 10.3390/geosciences16110447 ISSN: 2076-3263

Sensitivity of Simulated Proximal Lava-Flow Routing to DEM Choice at Mount Slamet, Indonesia

Muhammad Aufaristama, Achmad Fakhrus Shomim, Dini Nurfiani, Muhammad Faizal Rafli, Mohammad Hasib, Yogi Adi Prasetya, Emilia Khusnul Wafi, Ratika Benita Nareswari, Aditya Pratama, Estu Kriswati

Digital elevation model (DEM) choice can alter stochastic lava-routing results where crater rims, depressions, and narrow channels are represented differently. We compared four source-location tests at Mount Slamet: an interpreted southwest-trending channel, the central crater, the western rim, and the southern crater. The elevation products were a 0.530 m unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-derived surface elevation model, Indonesia’s 8.29 m national DEM (DEMNAS), and 30 m Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) data. Each DEM–source combination was run four times with 1500 trajectories per replicate. The analysis distinguishes native-grid summaries from common 30 m support and reports visitation-weighted radial reach, trajectory runout, directional concentration, convergence, and termination. The channel test retains a concentrated southwestward distribution on all three products. The other UAV tests remain close to their source cells and have weak directional concentration, so their bearings do not define a clear preferred direction. Regional products generally produce broader and longer distributions, but the response varies among source locations and is not monotonic with cell size. Frequent routing-exception stops and contrasting scales of fixed routing corrections identify unresolved numerical effects. The comparison demonstrates sensitivity to DEM choice under fixed inputs; it does not establish UAV superiority, eruption probability, or validated inundation limits.

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