Real-Time Prediction of Reading Comprehension Levels from Beta-Band EEG Signals Using Kernel Ridge Regression and Principal Component Analysis

Real-time assessment of reading comprehension remains a challenge in educational research. Traditional evaluation methods, such as questionnaires, provide delayed and retrospective measures and therefore do not capture the dynamic nature of comprehension during reading. This exploratory study investigates whether beta-band electroencephalography (EEG) activity can be used to estimate EEG-derived indicators related to reading comprehension during academic reading. The study included 40 university students who read a conceptually demanding scientific text while EEG signals were continuously recorded. Beta-band activity (13–30 Hz) was extracted from six cognition-related channels and segmented into non-overlapping 2 s windows. Principal component analysis (PCA) was applied for dimensionality reduction, followed by kernel ridge regression (KRR) for prediction. At the window level, the proposed KRR–PCA framework achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 5.797, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 7.783, an MAE-based accuracy of 94.2%, and an explained variance of R2 = 0.275 on a held-out test set. At the participant level, aggregated predictions showed a significant correlation with questionnaire-based comprehension scores (r = 0.59), indicating that EEG-derived features captured meaningful inter-individual differences. The framework also generated time-resolved prediction profiles that reflected fluctuations in EEG-derived comprehension estimates during reading. These findings suggest that beta-band EEG contains information related to reading comprehension and may support the development of future EEG-based educational monitoring systems. Further validation using larger cohorts and time-resolved comprehension measures is needed to confirm the practical applicability of the approach.