DOI: 10.1097/rct.0000000000001943 ISSN: 1532-3145

Preoperative Contrast-Enhanced CT-Based Three-Dimensional Fractal Analysis of Automatically Segmented Tumors for Predicting PD-L1 Expression in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Preliminary Study

Zhengfeng Fu, Yuan Xu, Yufeng Li, Xiaotao Guo, Guojian Ren, Yizhao Zhang, Pengfei Sun

Objectives:

To evaluate whether 3-dimensional fractal features extracted from automatically segmented hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) tumor volumes on preoperative contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) can predict programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression.

Methods:

This retrospective study included patients with pathologically confirmed HCC between January 2022 and March 2026 who underwent multiphasic liver CECT and PD-L1 immunohistochemical staining of surgical or biopsy tumor specimens. PD-L1 positivity was defined as a combined positive score ≥1. Patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. Tumor VOIs were automatically segmented on portal venous phase CECT using the uAI Research Portal. Three-dimensional fractal dimension (FD 3D ) and 3-dimensional lacunarity (Lac 3D ) were extracted using the box-counting method. LASSO logistic regression was used to select predictors of PD-L1 positivity and to build a combined model.

Results:

A total of 134 patients with HCC were included, of whom 69 had PD-L1-positive tumors, and 65 had PD-L1-negative tumors. Patients were randomly assigned to the training cohort (n=87; 44 PD-L1-positive) and validation cohort (n=47; 25 PD-L1-positive). In both cohorts, tumor FD 3D and Lac 3D were significantly higher in PD-L1-positive patients than in PD-L1-negative patients (both P <0.05). LASSO-logistic regression identified FD 3D , Lac 3D , and radiologic venous invasion (RVI) as predictors of PD-L1 positivity. The combined model incorporating these variables showed good predictive performance in the validation cohort, with an AUC value of 0.813. Calibration curves and decision curve analysis demonstrated good model calibration and clinical net benefit.

Conclusion:

Tumor 3-dimensional fractal features derived from preoperative CECT can quantitatively reflect the spatial structural complexity and heterogeneity of HCC. A combined model integrating FD 3D , Lac 3D , and RVI may facilitate noninvasive preoperative prediction of PD-L1 expression and serve as an imaging biomarker for characterizing tumor immune-related features.

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