DOI: 10.1177/08830738261489037 ISSN: 0883-0738

Predictive Performance of Erasmus Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) Respiratory Insufficiency Score and Modified Erasmus GBS Outcome Score for Clinical Outcomes in Pediatric GBS

Yavuz Ataş, Hasan Tekgül, Seda Kanmaz, Erdem Şİmşek, Gürsel Şen, Dilara Ece Toprak, Özlem Yilmaz, Tuğce Ince, Cemile Büşra Ölçülü, Özlem Acar, Sanem Yilmaz

To evaluate the predictive value of the Erasmus Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) Respiratory Insufficiency Score (EGRIS) and the modified Erasmus GBS Outcome Score (mEGOS) for outcome in a pediatric cohort. The study group consisted of 32 GBS patients (n = 9 with axonal form, 28.1%) who received standard intravenous immunoglobulin therapy. The unfavorable outcome was defined as the inability to walk independently (with GBS disability score ≥3) at 6 months. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed using both scoring systems to evaluate their predictive accuracy for early outcomes (need for mechanical ventilation and intensive care unit [ICU] admission) and for late motor outcome at 6 months. EGRIS yielded a strong accuracy (area under the curve [AUC] of 0.96 (95% CI: 0.85-1.00; cutoff ≥ 5) for predicting the need for mechanical ventilation and an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.63-1.00) for predicting ICU admission. The mEGOS score calculated at admission was significantly higher in the axonal subgroup ( P  = .011). The mEGOS demonstrated strong predictive ability for ICU admission at presentation (AUC = 0.89; 95% CI: 0.74-1.00; cutoff ≥ 4). However, both EGRIS and mEGOS exhibited limited discriminative ability in identifying patients with mild neurologic disability at 6 months (AUC < 0.70). The EGRIS and mEGOS demonstrated strong predictive accuracy for early outcomes and limited discriminative ability for late motor outcomes. We considered that both scoring systems should be integrated into pediatric-specific prognostic frameworks at the bedside of GBS patients with electroclinical subtypes.