DOI: 10.3390/ani16213395 ISSN: 2076-2615

Predicting the Dietary Metabolizable Energy and Crude Protein Levels of 1- to 70-Day-Old Hy-Line Brown Male Chicks Using Response Surface Methodology and Artificial Neural Network Models

Heng Zhang, Xiangyu Zhang, Peipei Yan, Kun Zhang, Xuelan Liu, Chunyan Fu, Qingtao Gao, Yan Shang, Xia Li, Tianhong Shi

To determine dietary metabolizable energy (ME) and crude protein (CP) levels of Hy-Line Brown male chicks and compare response surface methodology (RSM) with artificial neural network (ANN) modeling, a total of 2160 birds were assigned to a 4 × 3 factorial design with three growth stages. Both RSM and ANN were fitted to predict body weight gain (BWG) and feed-to-gain ratio (F/G), with performance evaluated via LOOCV, leave-2-treatments-out validation, and bootstrap resampling. The 22–56-day stage yielded the best model performance overall. For F/G, both models achieved strong and comparable fit (in-sample R2 ≈ 0.86–0.88; LOOCV retention ≈ 97%), and both remained predictive under leave-2-treatments-out validation (RSM R2 = 0.72, ANN R2 = 0.45). For BWG, model performance was weaker, and ANN’s apparent in-sample advantage over RSM (R2 = 0.585 vs. 0.388 at 22–56 d) did not hold under leave-2-treatments-out validation (ANN R2 = −12.7 vs. RSM R2 = −0.24). Lastly, multi-objective optimization combining both models predicted stage-specific nutrient combinations. The results of this study provide empirical support and a methodological reference for establishing stage-specific nutritional standards for Hy-Line Brown male chicks.

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