DOI: 10.3390/computers15060396 ISSN: 2073-431X

PEL: An Integrated Algorithm for Power Time Series Anomaly Detection

Lei Wang, Yu Gao, Xiaoyong Zhao

Power systems continuously generate large-scale load time series data for forecasting, consumption analysis, and equipment health monitoring. However, real-world load measurements are often contaminated by anomalies caused by sensor faults, communication errors, and abnormal consumption behaviors, which may degrade data quality and affect operational decision-making. To address this issue, this paper proposes an integrated anomaly detection framework named PEL, which combines Prophet-based seasonal-trend decomposition, ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), and a multilayer long short-term memory (LSTM) network. Prophet is first employed to decompose the original series into trend, seasonal, holiday, and residual components. Sample entropy analysis and white noise tests are then adopted to evaluate whether the residual component still contains complex structured information requiring secondary decomposition. Next, EEMD is applied to the residual component to extract multi-scale intrinsic mode functions. Finally, all decomposed components are normalized and fed into a multilayer LSTM model for anomaly detection. Experiments on a real-world power load dataset demonstrate that the proposed PEL framework achieves an accuracy of 99.92%, a precision of 97.33%, a recall of 100%, an F1-score of 98.65%, and an AUC of 0.9996, outperforming or matching several baseline and hybrid models.

More from our Archive