Optimization Method for Distribution Networks with High Penetration of Renewable Energy Based on Deep Scenario Generation and Data-Driven Approaches
Guozhen Ma, Ning Pang, Shiyao Hu, Yunjia Wang, Chong Han, Siyang LiaoWith the increasing penetration of distributed renewable energy sources, such as photovoltaic and wind power, their strong randomness and volatility pose significant challenges to distribution network operation and control. Simultaneously, missing and noisy source-load data in practical distribution network operation further constrain the accuracy of optimization decisions. To address these issues, this paper proposes a data-driven optimization method that integrates low-rank limited-information reconstruction, WGAN-GP-based scenario generation, and source–storage–load coordinated dispatch. Firstly, a low-rank matrix completion model solved by singular value thresholding (SVT) is used to reconstruct incomplete photovoltaic and load profiles. Secondly, a Wasserstein generative adversarial network with gradient penalty (WGAN-GP) is trained on the reconstructed dataset to generate renewable-output scenarios, and five representative scenarios are retained through conditional scenario matching and averaging. Finally, a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) dispatch model is established by considering energy-storage operating constraints, demand response constraints, and time-of-use electricity prices. The numerical case uses 60 daily profiles with 24 hourly points per day and a 20% random missing-data setting. Case study results show that the proposed reconstruction method reduces the overall RMSE from 177.15 kW to 52.40 kW compared with zero-fill processing. The coordinated dispatch decreases the daily operating cost from 10,060.36 CNY to 9414.67 CNY, corresponding to a 6.42% cost reduction. The limitations of the single-test-day benchmark and simplified active-power dispatch validation are also discussed.