DOI: 10.1017/jpr.2026.10136 ISSN: 0021-9002

On the moments of the Ulam–Kac adder

Gage Bonner

Abstract

Let

left brace upper U left parenthesis n right parenthesis right brace Subscript n greater than or equals 0 { U ( n ) } n ≥ 0 $\{U(n)\}_{n \geq 0}$
be a sequence of independent random variables such that U ( n ) is distributed uniformly on
StartSet 0 comma 1 comma 2 comma ellipsis comma n EndSet { 0 , 1 , 2 , … , n } $\{0, 1, 2, \dots, n\}$
. The Ulam–Kac adder is the history-dependent random sequence defined by
upper X Subscript n plus 1 Baseline equals upper X Subscript n Baseline plus upper X Subscript upper U left parenthesis n right parenthesis X n + 1 = X n + X U ( n ) $X_{n + 1} = X_{n} + X_{U(n)}$
with the initial condition
upper X 0 equals 1 X 0 = 1 $X_0 = 1$
. We show that for each
m greater than or equals 1 m ≥ 1 $m \geq 1$
,
log double struck upper E left bracket upper X Subscript n Superscript m Baseline right bracket divided by StartRoot n EndRoot log ⁡ E [ X n m ] / n $\log \mathbb{E}[X_n^m]/\sqrt{n}$
approaches a constant
c Subscript m c m $c_m$
as
n right arrow normal infinity n → ∞ $n \to \infty$
. For a given m , a method is provided which allows the high-accuracy numerical computation of
c Subscript m c m $c_m$
. For arbitrary m , loose bounds are provided.

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