Machine Learning-Driven Multi-Scale Modeling and Digital Twin Evolution for Geothermal Reservoirs and Underground Thermal Storage
Xue Li, Lin Zhu, Wan Zhang, Fei Xiong, Faning Dang, Fei Liu, Zhengzheng CaoGeothermal energy and underground thermal storage (UTES) are vital to the low-carbon energy transition, yet their optimization is bottlenecked by multi-scale heterogeneity, coupled thermal–hydraulic–mechanical–chemical (THMC) processes, and the high computational cost of full-physics simulations. This review systematically evaluates machine learning (ML) as a foundational paradigm for overcoming these computational and scale-bridging challenges. We categorize current advances into three key functional roles. First, data-driven upscaling directly maps pore-scale features to macro-scale effective properties, replacing traditional empirical homogenization. Second, deep surrogate models mimic high-fidelity THMC simulations at a fraction of the computational cost, enabling real-time prediction and uncertainty quantification. Third, physics-informed digital twins integrate real-time sensor streams with cloud architectures for dynamic reservoir management. Furthermore, we address the generalization limits of purely data-driven approaches, highlighting physics-informed machine learning (PIML) and hybrid architectures that embed conservation laws as strict constraints. Finally, we outline future pathways toward multimodal data fusion and edge-cloud deployment, marking a shift from static offline modeling to dynamic, physics-safeguarded real-time reservoir optimization.