DOI: 10.1177/1088467x261458481 ISSN: 1088-467X
Linguistic time series forecasting model for handling numeric time series’ uncertainty in an axiomatic hedge algebra-based formalism
Phong Pham Dinh, Linh Mai Van, Thong Hoang Van, Du Nguyen Duc, Ho Nguyen Cat
The fuzzy time series forecasting model, introduced by Song and Chissom, aims to utilize the fuzzy sets’ uncertainty to handle the uncertainty of a given numeric time series, denoted by
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, to solve its numeric time series forecasting problem. The model attracts and strongly motivates researchers to develop or extend this model. Since, usually, experts observe
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in terms of its linguistic variable words, it suggests proposing a so-called linguistic time series to utilize the words and their inherent qualitative and quantitative semantics, formalized by the hedge algebras theory, for modeling
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and handling its values and its uncertainty to solve the
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’s forecasting problem. For a given
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’s and its declared multi-aspect semantics, the linguistic time series model permits to construct an intervals’ partition of
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’s numeric universe, whose every subinterval is associated with a unique declared word, and to transform
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into a linguistic time series. Then, the study can develop a forecasting method to compute its desired forecasting values, where the words’ numeric semantics are axiomatically defined by a so-called quantifying mapping of the hedge algebra of the
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’s linguistic variable. Particularly, the proposed model can also allow the declared word domain scalably growing to increase the exactness of the proposed forecasting method.