DOI: 10.5194/wcd-7-2107-2026 ISSN: 2698-4016

Large-scale drivers of compounding hot and dry events in three breadbasket regions

Natalia Castillo Bautista, Marco Gaetani, Leonard F. Borchert, Benjamin Poschlod, Lukas Brunner, Jana Sillmann, Mario L. V. Martina

Compound hot and dry events cause damage to ecosystems and society. While these events have been widely studied individually, their co-ocurrence and the associated large-scale atmospheric drivers remain less understood. Here, we use reanalysis products and observational data to identify compound hot and dry events in the historical period from 1960–2020. We analyze the large-scale circulation patterns associated with compound occurrence of hot and dry events when they affect large portions of three breadbasket regions in the Northern Hemisphere, namely North America, Europe and the Mediterranean and eastern Asia. We find that compound hot and dry events recur throughout the historical period and are consistently linked to Rossby wave patterns and mid-tropospheric anticyclonic ridging, which trigger land–atmosphere feedbacks resulting in the reinforcement of the events. Our study highlights that the spatial coverage of compound hot and dry events across the selected regions provides a useful metric for assessing regional impacts.

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