Land Tenure Stability and Farmers’ Adoption of Green Production Technologies: Evidence from Inner Mongolia, China

Against the backdrop of the growing alignment between green agricultural transformation and rural land system reform, how stable land tenure promotes farmers’ adoption of green production technologies has become an important issue in achieving high-quality agricultural development. Using 2024 survey data from 1117 farm households in Inner Mongolia under China’s second-round land contract extension policy, this study applies Poisson regression and mediation models to examine how land tenure stability affects farmers’ adoption of green production technologies. The results show that legal, factual, and perceived tenure stability, measured by second-round contract extension signing, no land disputes since the second round, and expectations of no future land adjustment, all significantly promote adoption. Tenure stability promotes adoption through higher income, better credit access, stronger benefit expectations, and greater risk-coping capacity, reflecting both economic and psychological effects. Its positive effect is stronger among small-scale farmers and those with lower-quality cultivated land. Policy efforts should not only prudently advance the second-round land contract extension, but also strengthen tenure security in practice and coordinate support for green production, rural finance, and risk protection. From a multidimensional land tenure stability perspective, this study provides new empirical evidence on how rural land reform translates into green behavioral responses.