Introduction to the Special Issue on Query Performance Prediction

Query Performance Prediction (QPP) aims to estimate the effectiveness of a retrieval system for a given query without requiring relevance judgments. While traditionally studied for sparse retrieval, recent advances in neural ranking, dense retrieval, and large language models (LLMs) have prompted a shift towards QPP methods that better reflect modern IR systems. This Special Issue on Query Performance Prediction Towards Novel Information Retrieval Paradigms presents recent advances along two complementary directions. The first focuses on LLM- and representation-based approaches that leverage query variants, semantic interactions, and comparative assessment to improve prediction for neural retrieval models. The second explores new formulations and application settings, including inverse learning, prediction of reliability in retrieval-augmented generation, and the incorporation of multimodal and neurophysiological signals. These works highlight emerging challenges in evaluating QPP in neural and generative settings by demonstrating that QPP is evolving into a broader framework for estimating uncertainty and reliability across complex IR pipelines. We believe that this Special Issue will foster further research towards robust and generalizable QPP methods for next-generation information access systems.