DOI: 10.1200/jco.2026.44.19_suppl.183 ISSN: 0732-183X

Integrative immune-genomic profiling for identification of treatment-relevant phenotypes association with predicted sensitivity to neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy in muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

Onyekachi Anya, Ogbonna Chikere, Oluchi Idenyi, Ronald Ng

183

Background: Neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy is an emerging strategy for muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), yet responses remain heterogeneous and predictive pretreatment biomarkers are lacking. We performed an integrative immune-genomic analysis of The Cancer Genome Atlas bladder cancer cohort (TCGA-BLCA) to identify biologic phenotypes associated with predicted sensitivity to neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy. Methods: Transcriptomic and somatic mutation data were analyzed to evaluate immune infiltration signatures, tumor mutational burden, and DNA damage response (DDR) gene alterations. Immune enrichment metrics were derived from gene expression profiles. In the absence of direct treatment outcomes, tumors were classified into biologically defined immune response phenotypes representing predicted treatment susceptibility. Associations were assessed using descriptive analyses and multivariable Firth penalized logistic regression. Results: Predicted sensitive tumors demonstrated higher global immune infiltration, including elevated ImmuneScore and enrichment of cytotoxic and innate immune signatures. DDR alterations were more frequent in immune-inflamed phenotypes. On multivariable analysis, ImmuneScore remained independently associated with predicted treatment sensitivity (p = 0.003), while other genomic variables showed context-dependent associations. Conclusions: Integrative immune-genomic profiling identifies biologically plausible phenotypes associated with predicted sensitivity to neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy in MIBC. Global immune infiltration emerged as a dominant feature of treatment-relevant tumor biology and supports immune-based stratification frameworks requiring prospective validation.

Variable 
Non-likely responder (n = 251) 
Likely responder (n = 260) 
p-value 
Statistical test 
Age, years, Mean (SD) 
67.80 (11.06) 
68.15 (9.68)  0.707  t = -0.38 
Sex, n(%) 
-  -  0.002  χ² = 9.43 
  Female 
56 (22.3%)  91 (35.0%)  -  - 
  Male 
195 (77.7%)  169 (65.0%)  -  - 
Pathologic tumor stage, n(%) 
-  -  0.355  χ² = 0.85 
  I-II 
153 (61.0%)  147 (56.5%)  -  - 
  III-IV 
98 (39.0%)  113 (43.5%)  -  - 
DDR status, n(%) 
-  -  0.339  χ² = 0.91 
  DDR-mutated 
105 (41.8%)  97 (37.3%)  -  - 
  DDR-wildtype 
146 (58.2%)  163 (62.7%)  -  - 
TMB group, n(%) 
-  -  0.073  χ² = 3.23 
  TMB-high 
98 (41.7%)  116 (50.4%)  -  - 
  TMB-low 
137 (58.3%)  114 (49.6%)  -  - 
ImmuneScore, Mean (SD) 
0.04 (0.02)  0.23 (0.18)  <0.001  t = -17.22 
StromaScore, Mean (SD) 
0.05 (0.08)  0.08 (0.10)  <0.001  t = -4.70 
CD8+ T cells, Mean (SD) 
-0.41 (0.36)  0.40 (1.23)  <0.001  t = -10.07 
NK cells, Mean (SD) 
-0.26 (0.02)  0.25 (1.36)  <0.001  t = -5.97 
Macrophages, Mean (SD) 
0.01 (0.01)  0.06 (0.05)  <0.001  t = -14.90 

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