Integrating EO-Based Disturbance Mapping with CBM-CFS3 for near Real-Time Forest Carbon Balance Assessment

Windthrow and the associated damage to forests have significant economic, social, and ecological impacts including increased harvesting costs and lost revenue, safety concerns for forest workers, and restriction on public access. The impacts of wind damage also directly affect greenhouse gas profiles associated with forest lands. This paper describes a two-stage forest monitoring approach that was devised for the purposes of assessing the impacts of the storms of winter 2024/2025, which included Storms Darragh and Éowyn, on the Irish forest estate. A range of Earth Observation (EO) datasets were used to assess the extent of windthrow damage within both public and private forests across the Republic of Ireland. The total area damaged was ca. 27,400 ha out of a total forest area of ca. 800,000 ha mainly affecting the north-west of the country. Based on scenarios developed to analyse the level of harvest in conjunction with the salvage operations, it was found that there was a decline in the sink capacity of the forest estate over the period 2025–2030. However, beyond this period, the sink capacity is restored as a result of the regeneration of the forests.