Integrated Multi-Scenario OPF-Based Economic Dispatch for Grid-Connected Microgrids Considering Bidirectional Power Flow and Technical Constraints

Economic dispatch in grid-connected microgrids is challenged by the variability of renewable generation, the uncertainty of demand, and the need to simultaneously satisfy technical and economic constraints under different operating conditions. This study proposes an integrated predictive economic dispatch strategy for power grids with interconnected microgrids, structured as a unified optimization framework. The approach integrates nodal electrical modeling, Optimal Power Flow (OPF)-based optimization, multi-scenario analysis, and post-optimization feasibility verification based on performance indicators within a single decision-support structure. The methodology is applied to a modified 14-node power grid interconnected with a microgrid, where simulations are conducted under three representative load scenarios (100%, 70%, and 40%) and two operational configurations (hybrid and renewable-only), enabling a comprehensive assessment of system behavior. Results show that the hybrid configuration consistently outperforms the renewable-only case, achieving loss reductions of up to 7.3 MW, increases in spinning reserve exceeding 50 MW, and a transition from net power import to export of approximately 50 MW under high demand. Additionally, the microgrid plays an active operational role, dynamically switching between import and export modes based on load levels and the generation mix. The proposed framework enables identification of operationally efficient and technically feasible configurations by incorporating bidirectional power exchange, electrical constraints, and reserve requirements. The main contribution lies in integrating technical, operational, and interaction variables within a single deterministic Optimal Power Flow (OPF)-based assessment scheme to support decision-making in interconnected microgrid-based power grids.