Household Resilience Dynamics Under Climate and Security‐Related Conflict Shocks: Evidence From Burkina Faso

ABSTRACT

This article examines household resilience to climate and security‐related conflict shocks in Burkina Faso and discusses its implications for environmental sustainability. Using the Harmonized Survey on Household Living Conditions (EHCVM 2018–2021) data (14,143 households), it builds a Resilience Capacity Index (RCI) through structural equation modeling (SEM), integrating absorptive, adaptive, and transformative capacities and estimates the association between shocks and resilience using a household fixed‐effects (least squares dummy variable [LSDV]) regression model. The mean RCI shows a modest improvement between 2018 and 2021, but persistent urban–rural gaps remain. Climate shocks and armed conflict are both associated with significantly lower resilience, with a stronger association for conflict. A positive interaction term indicates that the combined association of climate and conflict shocks is less negative than the sum of their separate associations. Resilience emerges as key to sustainable development, requiring integrated policies on adaptation, social protection, and livelihood diversification. These findings are consistent with the resilience‐sustainability nexus literature, suggesting that strengthening household resilience can help curb the distress‐driven depletion of natural resources and support more stable, sustainable development trajectories in fragile Sahelian settings.