Genetic Mechanisms and Spatiotemporal Distribution of Abnormal Overpressure in the Xihu Sag, East China Sea

Overpressure prediction is critical for safe and efficient drilling, yet remains challenging in complex basins with multiple genetic mechanisms. This study systematically investigates the overpressure origins in the Xihu Sag, East China Sea, a prolific hydrocarbon-bearing sag with widespread overpressure and complex pressure regimes. By integrating well logging data and direct pore pressure measurements from nine wells across three major structural units, the Western Slope Belt, the Western Sub-sag and the Central Inversion Belt, a multi-method diagnostic framework is employed. This combines Bowers’ effective stress analysis with sonic-density cross-plots to discriminate between loading and unloading mechanisms. Results show obvious vertical zoning of pore pressure—normal-pressure zone, overpressure zone, and pressure reversal zone—with distinct horizontal heterogeneity. Results reveal a distinct spatial differentiation in dominant overpressure mechanisms. In the Western Slope Belt, overpressure in the deep Pinghu Formation primarily results from a composite of undercompaction (creating initial pressure seals) and subsequent hydrocarbon generation-induced fluid expansion. In contrast, in the Central Inversion Belt and Western Sub-sag, overpressure is predominantly driven by hydrocarbon charging along faults coupled with tectonic compression, with minimal undercompaction signatures. Previous studies on overpressure genesis in the Xihu Sag have largely focused on the Western Slope Belt. This study expands the analytical scope to the Western Sub-sag and Central Inversion Belt, and conducts a systematic comparative analysis of overpressure genesis across multiple tectonic units. The value of this work lies in the systematic application of classical diagnostic methods to fill the regional research gap regarding the overpressure characteristics of the Huagang Formation and the composite nature of overpressure. With accurately constrained genetic mechanisms, the findings can provide support for optimized drilling fluid design and wellbore stability management, and effectively mitigate deep hydrocarbon exploration risks in this sag and analogous overpressured basins.