From Interest to Action: Bridging the Gap in Bioenergy Crop Adoption Among Private Landowners

Bioenergy crops are widely regarded as a promising approach to support renewable energy production, diversify farm income, and enhance land-use efficiency. Despite these potential benefits, adoption rates remain low, and empirical understanding of landowners’ decision-making processes is still emerging. This study examines landowners’ interest in and likelihood of adopting bioenergy crops, explicitly differentiating between early-stage interest and near-term adoption intentions. Survey data from 207 landowners are analyzed using a bivariate probit model to identify key factors influencing both outcomes. The results reveal a marked disparity between expressed interest and adoption likelihood, with a significantly greater proportion of landowners indicating interest than those willing to adopt in the near term. Economic orientation increases adoption interest by 9.5 percentage points, while identity orientation increases adoption likelihood by 6.6 percentage points. Determinants such as increased awareness, land size, experience, and participation in conservation programs exert varying influences across different decision stages. These findings suggest that stated interest and stated near-term adoption likelihood represent related but distinct dimensions of adoption readiness, shaped by different economic, identity-based, and institutional factors. Effective promotion of bioenergy crops requires more than general awareness campaigns. Policies should combine financial incentives, technical assistance, market development support, and outreach strategies that present bioenergy crops as compatible with landowners’ economic goals, stewardship values, recreational uses, and long-term attachment to their land.