Flood Susceptibility Assessment in Two Eastern Mediterranean Catchments Using a Multi-Indicator Approach

Flooding triggered by intense precipitation is a significant natural hazard affecting Mediterranean regions, where complex terrain, rapid hydrological response and increasing urbanization can amplify flood impacts. This study assesses flood susceptibility in two representative Mediterranean River catchments: the Koiliaris in Crete, Greece, and the Pediaios in Cyprus. A compact Flood Hazard Index (FHI) was developed by integrating the Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), Curve Number (CN), and R20 heavy rain frequency index, representing the principal geomorphological, hydrological and climatological controls of flood generation. Spatial datasets including EU-DEM elevation data, CORINE land cover, European soil databases, and Copernicus CERRA precipitation reanalysis were combined within a GIS-based multi-criteria framework using Analytic Hierarchy Process weighting. The resulting FHI maps identify high flood susceptibility along river corridors, low-lying accumulation zones, and urbanized areas. In the Koiliaris basin, 34% of the area fell within the high and very high susceptibility classes, mainly in downstream alluvial zones, whereas in the Pediaios basin, 29% of the area fell within the high and very high susceptibility classes, concentrated around the urbanized Nicosia corridor. The analysis of historical flood events provided a qualitative consistency assessment of the FHI patterns, acknowledging that the absence of spatially explicit flood-inundation footprints limits quantitative validation.