Exploring the Determinants of Graduate Job Stability in Algeria

Abstract

Graduate access to stable employment remains a major challenge in developing economies characterised by high levels of labour market precarity. This study examines the determinants of access to permanent contracts in Algeria, which is considered a key indicator of employment stability. Drawing on human capital, social capital, and soft skills frameworks, the analysis focuses on individual-level factors that influence labour market outcomes. The study is based on a 2022 survey of 200 graduates from the National Higher School of Statistics and Applied Economics (ENSSEA). A binary logit model is used to estimate the probability of obtaining a permanent contract. The results show that additional educational attainment, weak social ties, foreign language proficiency, graduation year, and maternal education significantly increase the likelihood of stable employment. In contrast, the field of study, student work experience, gender, and parental occupation are not significant. These findings provide policy-relevant insights for improving graduate employability.