Energy-Efficient Thermal Management of a Fuel-Cell Heavy-Duty Truck via Nonlinear Model Predictive Control

A methodology for the development of nonlinear model predictive control for thermal management of a 40-ton fuel-cell heavy-duty truck is presented, using the medium-temperature cooling circuit as a case study. The approach integrates control-oriented modeling, parameter estimation, and experimental validation based on drivetrain test bench measurements under controlled high-temperature ambient conditions. A lumped-parameter model of the medium-temperature circuit, including coolant, oil, electric motors, and power-electronics auxiliaries, is derived and implemented in a Simulink environment, with heat-transfer parameters calibrated from test bench data and radiator air-side resistance and fan characteristics derived from CFD simulations and manufacturer specifications, respectively. Model parameters are identified using a systematic estimation procedure and the resulting model is validated against long-duration roller test measurements, achieving coefficients of determination above R2 = 0.9 and normalized RMSE values below 10% for all key temperatures. The validated model is then used as the prediction model in a model predictive controller that manipulates radiator fan and coolant-pump speeds, while treating component heat losses, vehicle speed and ambient temperature as measured disturbances. The controller is evaluated in a model-in-the-loop environment for representative long-haul and urban driving cycles and different ambient temperatures, and its performance is benchmarked against conventional rule-based and PI-based control strategies. Depending on the driving cycle and ambient conditions, the proposed NMPC reduces cooling system energy consumption by up to 39.6% compared to a PI controller (VECTO Urban Delivery cycle, 35 °C ambient), with an average reduction of 16.6% across all investigated driving cycles and ambient conditions, without a significant increase in average or maximum coolant temperature. The proposed methodology provides a transferable workflow for developing predictive thermal management control in fuel-cell heavy-duty vehicles and other complex automotive cooling systems.