DOI: 10.1177/20563051261495196 ISSN: 2056-3051

Do Experts Agree About Misinformation? Evidence From Three Annual Surveys

Sacha Altay, Sebastián Valenzuela, Philip N. Howard

How much do experts on the information environment agree about the scale, spread, and effects of misinformation? We drew on three annual waves of the International Panel on the Information Environment expert survey to examine agreement with seven popular claims about misinformation (2023: N  = 262; 2024: N  = 413; 2025: N  = 442; spanning 76 countries). Agreement varied widely across statements and was stable across waves. About 60% of experts agreed that falsehoods spread faster than the truth and that misinformation is widespread. About half agreed that misinformation has a substantial influence on behavior and that people readily believe what they see online; about 40% agreed that more people have become misinformed over time; and only 25% agreed that misinformation is primarily a social media problem. The surveys also revealed a persistent divide between experts who saw misinformation as widespread and consequential and those more skeptical, with sharpest disagreement on its behavioral impact and increase over time. In 2025, some experts distinguished between misperception prevalence and misinformation severity. Overall agreement varied by respondent background: agreement was higher among experts on developing countries than those on developed countries, higher among STEM researchers than social scientists, and lower among political scientists than communication scholars. Expert consensus on misinformation is partial, varies across claims and experts, and is shaped by geography and discipline.

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