DOI: 10.12995/bilig.8957 ISSN: 1301-0549

Diplomatic Impact of Economic and Financial Relations: An Analysis of the Turkestan States and China

Fadime Ayca Ceylan, Ali Fuat Uruş
Show PDF Cite
This study analyses the impact of China’s economic and financial relations with the Turkestan States – Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan – on voting alignment of these five states with China in the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA). Data from the 2000–2021 period covers variables such as imports, exports, external debt, number of projects, commitment amounts and economic freedom index. The voting alignment ratio was used as the dependent variable. Due to the failure to meet parametric assumptions and the lack of significant results from panel models, the Theil-Sen regression method was preferred. The results reveal that economic and financial relations have varying effects on political alignment depending on the country. Economic variables show a significant effect in Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, while explanatory power is quite limited in the cases of Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan. The study demonstrates that the potential of economic incentives to increase political alignment can only be effective when combined with internal political structure, institutional capacity and foreign policy orientations.

More from our Archive