Digital Rock Segmentation with Uncertainty Quantification for Geological CO2 Storage: From Image Accuracy to Carbon Storage Reliability

Geological CO2 storage is essential to pathways to carbon neutrality, but its deployment depends on trustworthy estimates of storage capacity, injectivity, trapping, reactive evolution, and containment. Digital rock physics can provide pore-scale inputs to these estimates from X-ray and electron microscopy images, but translation to formation-scale performance requires additional geological, fluid, and operational information. Each image-derived result depends on image segmentation, which converts grayscale data into pore, mineral, fracture, and fluid phases. This review evaluates classical methods, machine learning, deep learning, transformers, and foundation models according to whether they support reliable storage decisions rather than image overlap scores alone. Evidence is synthesized from imaging of dry rocks, CO2–brine experiments, multiscale studies of carbonates and shales, and analyses of fractured rocks. We introduce a framework with seven dimensions: class accuracy, boundary fidelity, topology, morphology, calibrated uncertainty, sensitivity of physical properties, and consequences for engineering decisions. The evidence shows that visually similar segmentations can yield substantially different predictions of permeability, connected porosity, residual trapping, reactive surface area, and leakage paths when errors occur at critical pore throats, fluid interfaces, or fractures. We therefore recommend selecting methods according to storage task and lithology, validating them on independent samples, propagating ensembles of plausible segmentations, using metrics that account for topology, and comparing predictions with laboratory measurements. The central message is simple: segmentation should be treated as both a measurement process and a form of risk control. Segmentation with auditable and quantified uncertainty has the potential to improve the inputs to site screening, injection design, and monitoring. These project-level benefits are proposed consequences requiring upscaling and project-specific validation, not outcomes demonstrated by this review.