DOI: 10.3390/biomedicines14112515 ISSN: 2227-9059

Development and Exploratory Evaluation of an ANXA1 and ANXA2 Expression Score in Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

Xiang Chen, Yujie Li, Xiaolong Liu, Jiayi Chen, Wei Liu, Jing Yang, Xiaoxiao Fan, Hui Lin

Background/Objectives: We assessed whether an ANXA1–ANXA2 expression score stratifies survival in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA). Methods: We assessed the discovery model’s internal performance and examined independent cohorts, single-cell expression and immunohistochemistry (IHC). Results: The discovery cohort included 244 patients and 99 deaths. Bootstrap-corrected 1- and 3-year areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.712 and 0.629, respectively, for the three-candidate procedure; broader screening retained an additional gene. TCGA-CHOL was inconclusive (36 tumours, 18 deaths; hazard ratio per score standard deviation 1.00, 95% CI 0.57–1.77). Cohort-standardised microarray analysis of 81 iCCA patients with 40 deaths supported a continuous association (hazard ratio 1.85, 95% CI 1.30–2.63). Median-split survival separation was not significant. Single-cell analysis included 19,278 cells from ten libraries and nine patients, with immune cells present in the initial epithelial-enriched selection. Within-patient ANXA2–oxidative-phosphorylation associations were positive, but none of the 16 patient-pseudobulk tests passed false discovery rate (FDR) correction. IHC showed descriptive differences in three matched tumour–adjacent pairs per marker, using different patient sets and no inferential testing. Conclusions: The score remains exploratory. Interpretation depends on candidate selection, differences between assays and patient-level uncertainty. Clinical utility and causal mechanisms require further evaluation.

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