Comparative Evaluation of Machine Learning Algorithms for Fault Diagnosis in Automotive Press Lines
Ahmet Erdem Oner, Meral BayraktarMinimizing unplanned downtime is critical for maintaining productivity in modern manufacturing. While combining sensor networks with machine learning provides a practical way to detect mechanical failures early, conventional data-driven diagnostics often fail during highly transient stamping operations. This failure stems from severe spectral smearing and signal distortions caused by fluctuating process loads and variable operating speeds. To address these limitations, we present a field-tested fault diagnosis (FD) framework deployed in an active automotive components plant. Over a twelve-month observation period, we collected raw vibration and process data from two operational transfer presses, building a comparative dataset that captures both localized gear damage and healthy baseline dynamics. After preprocessing the data to isolate signal anomalies, we systematically evaluated the diagnostic performance of six algorithms: SVM, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, k-NN, Decision Trees, and Logistic Regression. By integrating angle-based position data from a high-resolution encoder, the developed framework successfully pinpointed specific defective gear teeth. Ultimately, the Random Forest model outperformed the others, delivering the most robust detection accuracy under real-world factory conditions. These results show that the proposed Condition Monitoring (CM) approach significantly reduces resource waste and prevents costly downtime, offering a practical and scalable asset management model for industrial applications.