DOI: 10.3390/app16168195 ISSN: 2076-3417

Comparative Analysis of Calculation Methods for Surface Urban Heat Island Intensity: A Case Study of Warsaw, Poland

Julia Baranowska, Konrad Wróblewski, Elżbieta Bielecka, Anna Markowska, Katarzyna Osińska-Skotak

Warsaw experiences significant urban heat island (UHI) effects driven by low-albedo surfaces and urban geometry, which pose ongoing challenges for public health and climate adaptation. This study evaluates daytime SUHI intensity at satellite acquisition time across the entire city to provide a comparison of two acquisition dates during heatwaves. Utilizing Landsat 7 and Landsat 9 satellite imagery from July 2015 and July 2022, the research compares six distinct SUHII calculation methods, including spectral indices, statistical normalizations, and area-based temperature differences, as minimum SUHII values differed significantly between the two observations (shifting from approximately −13.8 °C to −7.7 °C). This indicates that suburban areas can become thermally similar to the city due to rapid land conversion and decreased evaporative cooling of vegetation during severe heat. Average intensities calculated via the SUHII 4 method reached 5.80 °C in 2015 and 2.07 °C in 2022. Under the criteria considered in this case study—interpretability, explicit physical units, treatment of water bodies, data requirements, and spatial consistency—SUHII 4 was the most suitable of the six tested formulations for the Warsaw analysis. Conversely, dimensionless spectral indices and purely statistical approaches are not recommended due to interpretative limitations.

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