Coastal Water Quality Degradation by Virulent and Antibiotic-Resistant Enteric Pathogens: Seasonal Patterns and Anthropogenic Drivers in the Jaffna Peninsula, Sri Lanka

Tropical coastal waters are increasingly recognized as critical reservoirs for virulent, antibiotic-resistant enteric pathogens, yet seasonal dynamics governing their spatial distribution remain poorly characterized. We hypothesized that hydrological shifts and anthropogenic nutrient enrichment drive the seasonal distribution, virulence profiles, and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) of Escherichia coli, Salmonella spp., and Shigella spp. in the Jaffna Peninsula, Sri Lanka. Across 25 coastal sites during dry and transitional seasons, we integrated physicochemical water quality assessment, culture-based enumeration, PCR-based virulence gene profiling, Minimum Inhibitory Concentration (MIC) assays, GIS mapping, and statistical analyses. Key water quality parameters, including ammonium, nitrite, and total phosphorus, showed significant seasonal variation (p < 0.05), reflecting distinct hydrological regimes across seasons. A total of 220 E. coli, 200 Salmonella spp., and 100 Shigella spp. isolates were examined for virulence gene profiles and antibiotic tolerance. E. coli was detected at 80–88% of sites, Salmonella spp. at 72–88%, and Shigella spp. at 32–48%. Among E. coli isolates, stx1 was detected at 20–28% of sites and eae at 16% across both seasons. The stn gene was detected in Salmonella spp. at 12–28% of sites seasonally. Virulence profiling confirmed STEC harbouring stx1, stx2, and eae; Salmonella spp. carried stn; and Shigella spp. possessed invasion-associated genes. Trimethoprim–sulfamethoxazole resistance was recorded in 63.2% of E. coli, 33.0% of Salmonella spp., and 31.0% of Shigella spp. isolates at the lowest tested concentration of 4 µg/mL., while ciprofloxacin and piperacillin–tazobactam retained greater efficacy. Correlation analyses revealed significant associations among faecal contamination, nutrient enrichment, and virulence gene prevalence, implicating untreated sewage discharge and eutrophication as likely ecological factors associated with pathogen occurrence. These findings designate the Jaffna coastal zone as a significant reservoir of virulent AMR enteric pathogens, underscoring the urgent need for integrated One Health surveillance and seasonally adaptive coastal water quality management.