CNN-LSTM-Based Time Series Health Condition Prediction for Deep-Sea Mineral Lifting Pump in Offshore Tests

As the core power equipment of the deep-sea mining system, the deep-sea mineral lifting pump continuously operates under harsh service conditions coupled with high hydrostatic pressure, complex marine environments, and solid particle media. Its operating state shows obvious strong nonlinearity, time-varying fluctuation, and local abrupt change features. Therefore, time series health state prediction of the deep-sea mineral lifting pump is of vital engineering significance for realizing predictive maintenance and ensuring the safety of offshore trials and mining operations. Taking the 500 m-level offshore sea trial conducted in the Xisha area of the South China Sea as the engineering background, four critical health characteristic parameters, including shaft power, pump efficiency, motor winding temperature, and outlet radial vibration, are selected to construct a hybrid CNN-LSTM time series prediction model. Comprehensive model evaluation metrics and ablation comparison experiments are adopted to analyze the multi-step-ahead prediction performance of the proposed model. The results show that the CNN-LSTM model achieves optimal comprehensive evaluation indices in one-step prediction and possesses excellent tracking capability for inflection points and amplitude fluctuations of time series data. Although the prediction accuracy decreases gradually with the increase in prediction steps, the model can still effectively characterize the evolutionary trend of pump operating states, and its overall prediction performance is significantly superior to that of single models. This study provides model support and technical reference for the health evaluation, early fault alarm, and maintenance optimization of deep-sea mineral lifting pumps in offshore trials.