Characteristics and Exploration Potential Evaluation of Lower Cambrian Source Rocks in the Southern Keping Area, Tarim Basin

Despite recent Cambrian subsalt gas discoveries in the Keping fault-uplift, northwestern Tarim Basin, organic abundance, type, maturity, and depositional setting of Lower Cambrian source rocks remain poorly documented. We evaluated the Yuertusi and Lower Xiaoerbulake Formations using total organic carbon (TOC) analysis, Rock-Eval pyrolysis, kerogen microscopy, solid bitumen reflectance, X-ray diffraction, and ICP-MS trace-element analysis of samples from 11 wells and 6 outcrops. The Yuertusi Formation is organic-rich in northern Keping (TOC = 0.13–28.20%) but thins and deteriorates southward. The Lower Xiaoerbulake Formation (TOC = 0.10–9.68%; 70–160 m thick) is a widespread, moderate-to-good source rock, challenging the view that the Yuertusi Formation is the only Cambrian source rock. Sapropelinite-dominated kerogen (>80%) indicates Type I–II organic matter; equivalent vitrinite reflectance (2.28–3.50%) confirms overmature, gas-prone rocks. The Yuertusi Formation reflects upwelling-fed high productivity and anoxic–euxinic waters; the Lower Xiaoerbulake Formation, moderately high productivity and dysoxic waters. The subsalt gas is oil-cracked gas from marine sapropelic source rocks of either formation. Chloroform bitumen “A” estimates give in-place gas resources of 1121.4 × 109 m3; the static share for southern Keping (20.1 × 109 m3) understates its dynamic potential. A lower-generation/upper-reservoir, fault-controlled, near-source model favors Trap 1-1 for future drilling.