DOI: 10.1257/mac.20240107 ISSN: 1945-7707
Central Banks as Dollar Lenders of Last Resort: Implications for Regulation and Reserve Holdings
Mitali Das, Gita Gopinath, Helene Hall, Taehoon Kim, Jeremy C. SteinWe explore how foreign central banks behave when firms engage in currency mismatch, borrowing heavily in dollars. A central bank can deal with risky private-sector mismatch in two ways: (i) with financial regulation or (ii) by accumulating reserves to better serve as a dollar lender of last resort. We highlight a novel externality: Individual central banks may overaccumulate dollar reserves, as this exacerbates a global scarcity of dollar-denominated assets, lowering dollar interest rates and encouraging firms to further increase their currency mismatch. Relative to the decentralized outcome, a global planner may prefer tighter financial regulation and reduced holdings of dollar reserves. (JEL E43, E44, E58, F31, F41, G21, G28)