DOI: 10.1146/annurev-financial-112923-021214 ISSN: 1941-1367

Bond-Stock Comovements

John Y. Campbell, Carolin Pflueger, Luis M. Viceira

During the late twentieth century, nominal government bonds and stocks tended to comove positively, whereas during the first quarter of the twenty-first century, they have tended to comove negatively. A similar sign switch is observable for real government bonds and breakeven inflation rates. Recent macroeconomic events have caused short-lived changes in these comovements, and periods with high risk premia tend to be periods in which bond-stock comovements are large in absolute value. The article surveys theoretical models of these phenomena.

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