Avian Influenza at the Wild Bird–Poultry Interface: An Asia-Focused Review with Ecological Risk Scenarios for China

Avian influenza remains a major threat to poultry production, wildlife conservation, and public health in Asia, where migratory birds, wetlands, rice paddies, domestic ducks, and live poultry trade often intersect. This Asia-focused review synthesizes ecological, epidemiological, surveillance, tracking, phylogenetic, and environmental evidence from 1996 to 2025, with particular emphasis on China, to clarify how risk develops at the wild bird–domestic poultry interface. The reviewed evidence suggests three broad epidemic phases: early Goose/Guangdong-lineage H5N1 outbreaks before 2014, recurrent clade 2.3.4.4 H5Nx expansions during 2014–2019, and the widespread clade 2.3.4.4b H5N1 period since 2020. Spatial risk is concentrated around major stopover wetlands and rice-paddy–duck landscapes, including Qinghai Lake, Poyang Lake, Sanmenxia, the Sanjiang Plain, and peri-urban market belts. Wetlands and paddies can maintain viruses environmentally, free-grazing ducks and bridge hosts can facilitate introduction, and live poultry markets and trade networks can amplify and export risk. By organizing these processes through an Interface–Amplifier–Conduit evidence-mapping approach, this review highlights setting-specific priorities, including seasonal wetland surveillance, closed farm-water systems, improved market hygiene, and better integration of ecological and genomic data for early warning and control.