DOI: 10.1177/00368504261499937 ISSN: 0036-8504

Association between preoperative RDW and in-hospital death in trauma patients: A multicenter retrospective cohort study

Xiaojuan Xiong, Mi Zhou, Peng Hu, Chang Liu, Yunqin Ren, Qingxiang Mao

Objective

Red cell distribution width (RDW) is an emerging prognostic marker in trauma. This study aims to investigate the association between preoperative RDW and in-hospital mortality in surgical trauma patients.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study enrolled 34,848 surgical trauma patients sourced from three Chinese medical centers and the MIMIC-IV 2.2 database. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to evaluate the discriminative ability of preoperative (at-admission) RDW for in-hospital mortality and to determine an optimal cutoff value for patient stratification. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed with a caliper value of 0.01, balancing 18 covariates between the two groups, including demographic characteristics, vital signs, injury severity scores, comorbidities. After PSM, 7,697 pairs were matched. Binary logistic regression was applied to assess the relationship between RDW and in-hospital mortality.

Results

In-hospital mortality was 3.02% (1,051/34,848). Preoperative RDW showed moderate discrimination for in-hospital mortality, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.777 (95% CI 0.763–0.792). Before PSM, in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in the Pre-RDW > 14.25% group compared to the Pre-RDW ≤ 14.25% group (7.58% vs. 1.11%, P < 0.001). After PSM, RDW was significantly higher in patients who died during hospitalization than in nonfatal patients (16.14 ± 2.75 vs. 14.63 ± 2.13, P < 0.001). Each 1% increase in RDW was associated with 24% higher odds of in-hospital death. Binary logistic regression showed that RDW > 14.25% was associated with 2.58-fold higher odds of in-hospital death (95% CI 2.17–3.05, P < 0.001).

Conclusions

Elevated preoperative RDW is independently associated with in-hospital mortality in trauma patients, and RDW > 14.25% indicates a significantly higher risk of in-hospital death.

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