Assessing Stakeholder Alignment in Commercial Launch Ecosystems: A Multidimensional Readiness Framework for Brazilian Launch Centers

This study assesses stakeholder alignment in the emerging Brazilian commercial launch ecosystem through a multidimensional readiness framework that integrates technological, organizational, legal, and operational dimensions with stakeholder management. The analysis focuses on three core actors: a private launch vehicle developer, a state-owned enterprise responsible for commercial coordination, and the Alcântara Launch Center as the operational provider. Results indicate heterogeneous maturity levels, with the launch provider at intermediate technological and funding readiness (Technology Readiness Level 6, Funding Readiness Level 6), the state-owned enterprise at early organizational and legal maturity (Organizational Readiness Level 3, Legal Readiness Level 4), and the launch center at moderate operational readiness (Operational Readiness Level 6). The study identifies inter-stakeholder misalignment as the primary barrier to system-level readiness and proposes a coordinated roadmap toward 2028, supported by governance mechanisms, contractual integration, and shared performance metrics. Benchmarking against international spaceports highlights Alcântara’s strategic advantages, including its near-equatorial location, while also recognizing constraints related to logistics and infrastructure maturity. The findings emphasize the role of the Brazilian Space Agency and the Brazilian Air Force as institutional orchestrators and highlight that stakeholder alignment is a necessary enabling condition, though not sufficient on its own, for the sustainable commercialization of launch services in Brazil in the New Space economy.