DOI: 10.3390/jmse14131221 ISSN: 2077-1312

An Uncertainty-Aware Assessment Framework for Multi-Glider Coordinated Observation of Mesoscale Eddies

Dongyang Xue, Fang Liu, Yaqiang Zhu, Xuehao Wang, Shuai Li, Shufeng Li, Peng Wang

Autonomous underwater glider fleets are increasingly deployed to observe mesoscale eddies, yet a methodology for evaluating observation quality under uncertainty remains lacking. This paper presents SCOPE, a framework integrating uncertainty propagation, multi-dimensional assessment, and objective metric selection. A 27-metric evaluation system spanning seven quality categories is constructed; an Adaptive Core Metric Selection (ACMS) algorithm compresses these to a compact core subset. Two-stage sensitivity analysis identifies the velocity ratio as the dominant parameter with a non-monotonic effect. The optimal velocity ratio decreases with eddy intensity in both an analytical model (0.58 to 0.47) and four real HYCOM eddies (2.35 to 0.35). ACMS converges on all four real eddies, and parameter rankings are consistent across environments. An ablation experiment in the analytical model validates the effectiveness of the two sensitivity-derived design rules (25% and 45.8%) gap closure and reveals their non-additive interaction. SCOPE offers a framework and diagnostic workflow for uncertainty-aware evaluation of autonomous ocean observation systems.

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