An Intelligent System for Hardness-Oriented Embodiment Design in Casting Processes Using Fuzzy Neural Networks
Fatih Keskinkılıç, Alper GöksuIn casting processes, mechanical properties such as hardness are highly sensitive to both chemical composition and process parameters, making parameter design a complex and uncertain task during the embodiment stage of engineering design. Conventional trial-and-error-based approaches are often costly, time-consuming, and impractical in industrial environments. To address these challenges, this study proposes an optimized fuzzy artificial neural network (FANN)-based decision-support approach for hardness-oriented parameter design in a casting process. The developed model uses chemical composition variables, including carbon, silicon, manganese, phosphorus, sulfur, chromium, copper, and tin, together with process parameters such as casting temperature and casting time as inputs, while Brinell hardness is considered as the output. A dataset consisting of 170 experimental casting samples was employed; 128 samples were used for model development and hyperparameter selection, and 42 samples were reserved as an independent final test set. The proposed model was implemented as a scaled direct FANN weighted ensemble, in which fuzzified input variables were used to predict standardized continuous hardness values. A total of 300 FANN configurations were evaluated using five-fold cross-validation, and the five best-performing configurations were combined through RMSE-based weighted ensemble averaging. The final model was compared with Random Forest, Linear Regression, Ridge Regression, and SVR-RBF models using MSE, RMSE, MAE, R2, MAPE, normalized RMSE, and ±5% prediction success rate. The results showed that the optimized FANN ensemble achieved the lowest mean RMSE in the full-data five-fold cross-validation analysis, slightly outperforming the Random Forest benchmark. In the independent final test set, Random Forest produced the lowest prediction error, whereas the proposed FANN ensemble remained competitive and achieved the same ±5% prediction success rate as Random Forest, Linear Regression, and Ridge Regression. Furthermore, a target-hardness case study demonstrated that the proposed approach could identify candidate casting conditions very close to a desired hardness level, with the nearest prediction reaching 202.985 HB for a target value of 203 HB. These findings indicate that the proposed FANN-based framework can serve not only as a hardness prediction model but also as a practical fuzzy decision-support tool for target-hardness-oriented parameter design in casting processes.