AI-Augmented Systematic Review of Remote Sensing and Predictive Modelling for Mycotoxin Risk Monitoring in Cereal Crops Across Central and Balkan Europe
László Radócz, Attila Nagy, Nikolett Szőllősi, Nikolett Éva Kiss, Andrea Szabó, János Tamás, Nxumalo Gift Siphiwe, László RadóczMycotoxin contamination of cereal crops poses escalating food safety risks across the Central and Balkan European (CBE) corridor under climate change, yet no PRISMA 2020-compliant synthesis of remote sensing (RS) and machine learning (ML) evidence for this region exists. We conducted an AI-augmented systematic review applying a four-stage automated pipeline—PICO domain scoring, SBERT semantic deduplication, and Thompson-sampling reinforcement learning—to 36,038 corpus records (2010–2025), yielding 156 included studies (inter-rater κ = 0.81 (95% CI: 0.74–0.88)). Logistic growth modelling identified a 56-fold corpus expansion with inflection at t0 = 2024.8 (R2 = 0.981). Satellite multispectral imaging dominated the literature (91.7% of studies); random forest and gradient boosting models achieved R2 = 0.74–0.80 for aflatoxin B1 and deoxynivalenol prediction in CBE maize and wheat when integrating vegetation indices, land surface temperature, and precipitation covariates. Deep learning surpassed classical ML in annual study count from 2021, reaching ~60% relative share by 2025, though the performance advantage narrows at field scale relative to laboratory hyperspectral benchmarks (98–99% accuracy). A five-percentage-point CBE–global performance gap is largely consistent with differences in sample size and multi-toxin design scope rather than algorithmic access. The country × mycotoxin gap matrix identifies zero eligible studies for four CBE nations and for T-2/HT-2 toxins across the Balkan states. Climate-driven satellite mycotoxin prediction emerges as the field’s active research frontier.