Adaptive Bi-Level Planning of Photovoltaic Hosting Capacity for Hydro-Dominant Distribution Grids Considering Hydraulic Safety Constraints
Ruizhu Guo, Rongwei Peng, Zhenlong Zhu, Wenfeng Wang, Hongyin Liu, Chong Du, Xi Zhang, Yansong Cui, Jing Zi, Lv He, Shihao Deng, Yuan Cao, Zicong ChenHydro-dominant distribution grids with high penetrations of distributed photovoltaic (PV) generation exhibit a clear operational asymmetry. PV output changes rapidly at the minute scale, whereas hydropower regulation is constrained by reservoir water balance, turbine ramping capability, and hydraulic safety limits. During high-inflow periods, mandatory hydropower generation further reduces the downward regulation margin and restricts midday PV accommodation. To address this issue, this paper develops an asymmetry-aware adaptive bi-level planning framework for photovoltaic hosting capacity (PVHC) assessment. A db4 discrete wavelet transform is used to decompose PV output into low-frequency energy trends and high-frequency fluctuation components. The upper layer performs hourly economic dispatch while maintaining reservoir water balance, and the lower layer conducts minute-level constrained tracking under ramping and vibration-zone avoidance constraints. A bisection-type capacity-search procedure is then used to identify the PVHC boundary by jointly checking curtailment, ramping, frequency proxy, voltage, line-loading, point-of-common-coupling exchange, and vibration-zone residence constraints. Case studies based on a 15 min PV dataset from a 30 MW station, hydropower operation records, and a modified 15-node feeder in Southwest China show that hydrological asymmetry materially affects PV accommodation. The obtained PVHC ranges from 53.17 MW under the most restrictive high-proxy condition to 65.33 MW under low-proxy operation. Compared with the no-coordination case, representative-month PVHC increases from 49.80 MW to 65.33 MW, while the simulated residence time within the predefined vibration-prone zone decreases from 447 min to 0 min. These results indicate that PVHC evaluation in hydro-dominant feeders should jointly consider electrical constraints, hydrological asymmetry, and hydraulic safety limits.