DOI: 10.3390/cli14070136 ISSN: 2225-1154

A Spatiotemporal Interpolation Method for Regional Precipitation Data Based on a Spatiotemporal Decay Graph Model

Li Liu, Chuhan Lu, Julong Huang, Feng Zhang, Guangyu Qu, Lu Guo, Runze Luo

Traditional meteorological data spatial interpolation methods often rely on linear or static assumptions, which are inadequate for complex terrain and fail to exploit continuous spatiotemporal variation information. This paper proposes a Spatiotemporal Graph Network with Adaptive Temporal Decay (DG) that integrates a learnable graph convolution module and a temporal attenuation mechanism, enabling accurate precipitation estimation for target stations or regions at consecutive time steps. The method is evaluated using daily precipitation data from nine stations in Longnan City, Gansu Province, China, along with ERA5 (0.25°) and GPCP (0.5°) gridded reanalysis products. In the station-to-station interpolation scenario, DG significantly outperforms ordinary Kriging (OK), reducing the average RMSE from 1.4 mm/day to 1.2 mm/day, with a 28.6% improvement at mountainous stations. The DG model also exhibits superior performance in grid-to-station interpolation, achieving an average RMSE of 1.9 mm/day (OK: 2.5 mm/day). On heavy precipitation days (≥20 mm/day), DG reduces the RMSE nearly by half (11.7 mm/day) compared to OK (23.2 mm/day). A temporal-only LSTM baseline and three ablation variants (spatial-only OSI, temporal-only OTI and dgcn-only OD) are also compared, and DG consistently outperforms them, confirming the essential role of spatiotemporal integration. Additional baselines including IDW and Co-Kriging further validate the superiority of DG. The proposed method offers a promising new approach for high-precision spatiotemporal interpolation of meteorological elements in complex terrain.

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